Price analysis 7/19: BTC, ETH, BNB, SOL, XRP, DOGE, TON, ADA, AVAX, SHIB
Bitcoin turned up sharply and broke above the overhead resistance, indicating the resumption of the upmove toward $70,000.
Bitcoin
BTC
$66,582
turned up on July 19 after a mild pullback for the past two days. Farside Investors data shows that United States-based spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs) continued to witness inflows on July 17 and 18, signaling that market participants had turned cautious but not bearish.
Onchain analytics firm Santiment said in a post on X that the number of Bitcoin wallet addresses holding a non-zero balance had plummeted by 672,510 over the past month. According to the firm, such mass liquidations are generally followed by a rebound.
Trading firm QCP Capital also sounded positive in its latest bulletin, speculating that Bitcoin’s resilience in the wake of equity market weakness and the likely Mt. Gox supply suggests that the market may have shaken off most of its worries.
Could Bitcoin continue its recovery and reach $70,000, pushing altcoins higher? Let’s analyze the charts of the top 10 cryptocurrencies to find out.
Bitcoin price analysis
Bitcoin’s sharp recovery stalled at $66,128 on July 17, but the bears could not sink the price below the 50-day simple moving average ($63,806). This suggests that the bulls are buying on every minor dip.
The 20-day SMA ($60,380) has started to turn up, and the relative strength index (RSI) has jumped into the positive zone, signaling that the bulls are at an advantage. If the price sustains above $66,128, it will clear the path for a rally to the psychological level of $70,000.
Conversely, if the price turns down and breaks below the 50-day SMA (63,762), it will indicate that the bulls are losing their grip. The BTC/USDT pair could plummet to the 20-day SMA, where the bulls will try to arrest the decline.
Ether price analysis
Ether
ETH
$3,497
has risen above the 50-day SMA ($3,441) on July 19, indicating that the bulls are trying to extend the recovery.
If buyers retain the price above the 50-day SMA, the ETH/USDT pair could rally to $3,730. This level is likely to attract selling by the bears, but if the bulls prevail, the pair will attempt a move to $4,000.
Contrary to this assumption, if the price breaks below $3,346, the pair may reach the 20-day SMA ($3,235). This is an important level for the bulls to defend because if they fail in their endeavor, the pair may retest the solid support at $2,850.
BNB price analysis
BNB
BNB
$591
soared above the 50-day SMA (586) on July 19, indicating that the bulls remain in control.
If the price maintains above the 50-day SMA, the BNB/USDT pair could reach $635. The bears are expected to defend this level with all their might because the failure to do that could result in a rally to $722.
Alternatively, if the price turns down sharply and breaks below the 20-day SMA ($545), it will suggest that the bears are selling on rallies. The pair may then remain range-bound between $460 and $635 for a while.
Solana price analysis
The bulls have pushed Solana
SOL
$169
above the downtrend line of the descending triangle pattern, indicating solid demand at higher levels.
The 20-day SMA ($145) has started to turn up, and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the bulls have the edge. A break and close above the downtrend line will invalidate the bearish setup. The SOL/USDT pair could climb to $180 and eventually to the stiff overhead resistance of $210.
This optimistic view will be negated in the near term if the price turns down and plunges below the moving averages. The pair could then spend some more time inside the triangle.
XRP price analysis
XRP
XRP
$0.60
turned down sharply from $0.64 on July 18, indicating that the bears are fiercely defending the level.
The XRP/USDT pair dropped back below the breakout level of $0.57, but the long tail on the July 19 candlestick shows aggressive buying at lower levels.
The moving averages are completing a bullish crossover, and the RSI is in the positive territory, indicating that the path of least resistance is to the upside. If the price maintains above $0.57, the bulls will again try to overcome the barrier at $0.64.
The important support to watch on the downside is $0.51. If this level gives way, the pair may plunge to the 20-day SMA ($0.49).
Dogecoin price analysis
The bears could not push Dogecoin
DOGE
$0.13
above the 50-day SMA ($0.13), but a positive sign is that the bulls successfully defended the 20-day SMA ($0.11).
The bulls will try to push the price above the 50-day SMA. If they succeed, the DOGE/USDT pair could move to $0.15 and eventually to $0.18. The bears are expected to mount a strong defense at $0.18.
Instead, if the price once again turns down from the 50-day SMA, it will signal that the bears are trying to defend the level. That will increase the likelihood of a break below the 20-day SMA, opening the doors for a drop to $0.10.
Toncoin price analysis
Toncoin (TON) has been consolidating in an uptrend. The price has been stuck between $6.77 and $8.29 for several days.
The price slipped below the 50-day SMA ($7.34) on July 16, but the bears could not sink the TON/USDT pair to the support of the range at $6.77. This suggests a lack of aggressive selling at lower levels.
If the price rises above the moving averages, the pair could rise to $7.72. This is an important short-term resistance to watch out for because a break above it could propel the price to the formidable hurdle at $8.29.
Related: MAGA memecoin hints at another ‘Trump pump’ ahead of Bitcoin 2024 conference
Cardano price analysis
Cardano
ADA
$0.44
bounced off the moving averages on July 19, indicating solid demand at lower levels.
The bulls will try to resume the up move by pushing the price above the nearby resistance at $0.46. If they manage to do that, the ADA/USDT pair is likely to rise to $0.52 and thereafter to $0.57.
If bears want to prevent the up move, they will have to swiftly yank the price below the moving averages. That could trap the aggressive bulls, resulting in a drop toward $0.35 and then to the support line of the channel.
Avalanche price analysis
Avalanche
AVAX
$28.23
has been stuck between the moving averages for the past few days, indicating a tussle between the bulls and the bears.
The flat 20-day SMA ($26.75) and the RSI near the midpoint do not give a clear advantage either to the bulls or the bears. That suggests a possible range-bound action between $29 and $24 for a few days.
The first sign of strength will be a break and close above $29. Such a move will signal solid demand at lower levels. The AVAX/USDT pair could start a relief rally to $34 and subsequently to $37.
Shiba Inu price analysis
Shiba Inu
SHIB
$0.000018
turned down from the breakdown level of $0.000020 on July 17 and reached the 20-day SMA ($0.000017) on July 18.
If the price rebounds off the 20-day SMA, the bulls will make another attempt to overcome the barrier at $0.000020. If they succeed, it will indicate the start of a stronger recovery. The SHIB/USDT pair could then start a rally to $0.000026.
Contrarily, if the price skids below the 20-day SMA, it will suggest that the pair may swing between $0.000020 and $0.000012 for some time. The flattish 20-day SMA and the RSI at the midpoint also point to a consolidation in the near term.
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